Download e-book for iPad: A closer look at the distribution of number needed to treat by Thabane L.

By Thabane L.

Show description

Read or Download A closer look at the distribution of number needed to treat (NNT) a Bayesian approach (2003)(en)(6s) PDF

Similar probability books

Download PDF by Elena Kulinskaya: Meta analysis : a guide to calibrating and combining

Meta research: A consultant to Calibrating and mixing Statistical Evidence acts as a resource of uncomplicated equipment for scientists desirous to mix proof from diversified experiments. The authors objective to advertise a deeper figuring out of the proposal of statistical proof. The publication is created from components – The guide, and the speculation.

Get Eins zu Tausend: Die Geschichte der PDF

Von Würfeln, Spielkarten und geworfenen Münzen bis hin zu Börsenkursen, Wettervorhersagen und militärischen Manövern: Überall im Alltag spielt die Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung eine wichtige Rolle. Während die einen auf ihr Bauchgefühl vertrauen, versuchen andere, dem Zufall systematisch beizukommen. Die Autoren enthüllen die Rätsel und Grundlagen dieser spannenden Wissenschaft, gespickt mit vielen Anekdoten und den schillernden Geschichten derjenigen, die sie vorangebracht haben: Carl Friedrich Gauß, Florence Nightingale, Blaise Pascal und viele andere.

Additional info for A closer look at the distribution of number needed to treat (NNT) a Bayesian approach (2003)(en)(6s)

Example text

Under proper scoring rules, indeed, the ∗ (Translator’s note:) Note that in consonance with the Italian traditional expression, the original text reads speranza matematica, literally mathematical hope. 26 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 2 Decisions and Proper Scoring Rules subject will always have an interest in stating those numbers that correspond to her own degrees of belief. It should be borne in mind that the frequency of favourable cases can be thought of as the mean truth-value of the events. As a matter of fact, Stefan Amsterdamski (1929–2005) was a Polish (rather than a Russian) philosopher and sociologist.

If we adopt this plan, our theorems will not be proved concerning an ascertained set of terms called ‘the natural numbers,’ but concerning all sets of terms having certain properties. Such a procedure is not fallacious; indeed for certain purposes it represents a valuable generalization. But from two points of view it fails to give an adequate basis for arithmetic. In the first place, it does not enable us to know whether there are any sets of terms verifying Peano’s axioms; it does not even give the faintest suggestion of any way of discovering whether there are such sets.

Probably, no die is so “perfect” as to necessarily lead everyone to be a priori certain that the various sides will come up with the same frequency. At any rate, even though this appears to be reasonably confirmed by past experiences, it could never be so in a perfect way. 7 In fact, if probability were a frequency, we should demand that each of the sides 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, always had to come up the same number of times. All excessively apodictical statements can only count as a vague, general idea.

Download PDF sample

A closer look at the distribution of number needed to treat (NNT) a Bayesian approach (2003)(en)(6s) by Thabane L.


by Ronald
4.4

Rated 4.07 of 5 – based on 48 votes